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The 1 Factor That Explains Everything Happening with Home Prices Right Now
You’ve probably heard that home prices are cooling off. And that’s true – nationally. But zoom in on individual markets across the country, and the picture looks completely different depending on where you are.
Some areas are still seeing solid price growth. Others have gone flat. A few have actually dipped slightly negative. So, what’s causing all of that variation?
It All Comes Down to Inventory
Here’s the simple version:
- When there are more homes for sale, buyers have options.
- More options, means less competition.
- Less competition means sellers can’t push prices as high.
On the flip side, when inventory is tight, buyers are competing over a small pool of homes, and that pushes prices up.
That dynamic is playing out right now in a really visible way across the country.
Markets where inventory has climbed back to, or above, normal pre-pandemic levels are seeing prices flatten or fall slightly. Markets where inventory is still well below those 2019 benchmarks are still seeing prices rise. As Lance Lambert, CEO of ResiClub, puts it:
“Home prices are still climbing a little year-over-year in many regions where active inventory remains well below pre-pandemic 2019 levels, such as pockets of the Northeast and Midwest.
In contrast, some pockets in states like Texas, Florida, and Colorado — where active inventory exceeds pre-pandemic 2019 levels by a solid clip — are seeing modest home price pullbacks or flat pricing.”
The Maps Say It All
Take a look at where inventory stands today compared to 2019. In most places (the states in gray below), inventory still falls short of where we were back then. And that’s exactly why prices are climbing, albeit moderately, in the vast majority of states.
But you’re probably more interested in where prices are falling a bit, since that’s what is making headlines. So, let’s prove out how much inventory affects prices in those spots.
According to Realtor.com, 15 states and Washington, D.C. are now back above pre-pandemic inventory levels, and some by a wide margin (see the orange in the map below):
Now, let’s look at the latest Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) data to see what’s happened to home prices in those same states over the past year (again, you’ll want to focus on the orange in the next map).
See how those line up pretty closely with the areas seeing more homes for sale today?
The overlap isn’t a coincidence. It’s cause and effect.
The national average of 1.7% price growth is accurate, but it’s an average of two very different stories happening at the same time – the few areas experiencing mild declines and the overwhelming majority that are still seeing prices rise.
What This Means If You’re Buying or Selling
If you’re a buyer, the market you’re shopping in matters a lot right now. In places like Texas, Colorado, or Florida, you may have real negotiating power – more choices, less competition, and sellers who are more motivated to make a deal. In tighter markets like much of the Northeast, you’re still likely facing a lot of competition.
If you’re a seller, pricing strategy is everything. In markets where inventory has risen, overpricing is one of the fastest ways to linger on the market and eventually sell for less than you would have with the right price from day one. In markets where inventory is still low, you’re in a strong spot, but getting your price right still matters if you want to attract serious buyers quickly. Either way, that’s where a local real estate agent earns their keep.
Bottom Line
When it comes to prices, where you are matters more than ever right now, and a local real estate agent is the best person to help you make sense of it.
Reach out today and let’s build a plan that fits our market.
The Real Reason Some People Are Still Moving Right Now
You may be telling yourself you’re going to wait to move – maybe you’re hoping mortgage rates will come down, prices will fall, or the market will feel a little easier.
And honestly? A lot of people feel that way right now. But here’s what some are starting to realize.
Waiting doesn’t usually fix the thing that made you want to move in the first place.
Your family still desperately needs more room. Your empty nest still feels too…empty.
Your parents or grandparents still need you to live closer.
You just got married… or divorced.
Your vision of retirement has you living somewhere else.
Eventually, life can reach a point where waiting feels harder than moving.
That’s why some people are still deciding to buy right now, even in today’s market. Not because conditions are perfect. But because the life changes behind their move never really went away.
And maybe that’s exactly where you are too. If so, you’re certainly not alone.
The Real Reasons People Move
Data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) shows 1 in 5 buyers last year said they felt like they had to purchase a home at that time, no matter the market.
That’s an important reminder right now. Sure, the dollars and cents of your move have to make sense for you. But big life changes happen whether mortgage rates and home prices are high, low, or somewhere in between.
And those big life events happen more than you may think. NAR says roughly 22.5 million people experience major life changes in a typical two-year span (see graph below):
These are exactly the kinds of things that can change how much space you need, where you want to live, or what kind of lifestyle makes sense now. Chen Zhao, Head of Economics Research at Redfin, explains:
“Life doesn’t stand still—people get new jobs, grow their families, downsize after retirement, or simply want to live in a different neighborhood.”
And that’s what makes waiting so hard. Every month you spend hoping the market changes is another month living in a house that no longer works for your life. It’s stressful to feel stuck. And that feeling usually doesn’t disappear.
There May Be More Opportunity Than You Think
But while affordability is still a challenge, there may still be a way for you to make your move.
The number of homes for sale has been growing for 4 straight years (see graph below). That means more homes to choose from and, in some markets, more room to negotiate than buyers had just a few years ago.
That doesn’t mean moving is suddenly easy. But it does mean some buyers are finding ways to make a move work. So, if you’ve been putting your plans on hold, maybe the question isn’t just:
“What’s the market doing?” or “When will it get better?”
Maybe ask yourself this, too: “Can I still live where I’m at right now and make it work?”
If the answer to that second question is “no,” it may be worth having a conversation about what your options look like today – despite where rates or prices are. You could find your move is still possible after all. With more homes for sale, there’s a better chance to find one that fits your life (and your budget) right now.
Bottom Line
Life changes. Priorities shift. Families grow. Kids move out. Careers evolve. And eventually, the house you’re in may stop fitting the life you’re living.
If that’s been weighing on you lately, let’s talk through what your options could realistically look like today, no matter where rates or prices are.
Life can’t always wait for perfect market conditions. Maybe you don’t have to either.
May Eastside Stats
Inventory is at its highest level since 2019, homes are taking longer to sell, and the geopolitical backdrop isn’t helping buyer confidence. Buyer reluctance is real — and you feel it most on the homes that don’t sell the first weekend. Sellers need to win both the price war and the beauty contest. The market is still moving, but it is not forgiving.
Whew. There is a lot to unpack this month, so let’s get into it.
The inventory story is real and it’s the defining theme right now. Looking year-over-year, pending sales are up 5%, which is great, but active listings are up 18%, resulting in the highest inventory since 2019. The takeaway? Buyers are buying, but new inventory is outpacing the rate at which they’re buying. Months of inventory, the velocity of the market, sits at 2.9, which is solidly in a balanced market. I’ve always dreamed of a balanced market and now that I have it, I don’t quite know what to do with it.
And yet median prices are up month-over-month — though I don’t believe it. My faith in this metric continues to waver. Prices are down 3.3% year-over-year, which is probably the more honest read. I’ll be candid: I was expecting flatter pricing. Building inventory typically puts downward pressure on values, and the market did soften noticeably after the conflict with Iran. Uncertainty isn’t great for buyer confidence or decision-making. My best guess is that mix shift is doing some of the work here — if more higher-end homes closed in April, the median rises even if the broader market is softer. Median pricing is a slippery metric. I’ll be watching this closely.
Days on market are up 130% year-over-year — which sounds like a five-alarm fire until you realize we went from 13 days to 30. Thirteen days was the anomaly. Thirty days is just… a market. Pre-pandemic, nobody would have blinked at a 30-day average. This is normalization, not collapse. That said, the direction of travel is clear: homes that don’t sell in the first weekend are sitting longer, and buyer reluctance on those properties is palpable. Nearly two-thirds of homes are still selling within the first two weeks — and those are the ones getting full asking price.
Seattle continues to outpace the Eastside with 38% of Seattle homes selling over asking at a median of 6% above list, compared to 27% and 2% on the Eastside. That gap has been consistent all year. It’s a reminder that “the market” isn’t monolithic — conditions vary meaningfully by geography, price point, and product type. If you’re making decisions based on regional headlines, you may be working with the wrong map.
A word on interest rates. Hovering just over 6.5% today — let’s call it what it is: psychologically damning, even if actual volatility has been less than a third of a percent. Functionally, not much has changed.
Perceptually, crossing back over 6.5% feels like something. Here’s my honest take: I think now is a genuinely great time to buy — great enough that I’m actively trying to figure out how to buy something myself. Rates just above 6.5% are making buyers pause. The moment rates dip below 6%, those buyers flood back in, inventory gets absorbed, and competition drives prices up. Buy now and you’re essentially purchasing the absence of competition. That advantage tends to disappear quickly.
So what does this all mean?
Sellers: Think price war and beauty contest. The homes winning right now priced correctly from day one and showed up in their best condition. You don’t get a second first impression. When your home hits the market it’s exposed to the largest pool of buyers it will ever see. Price it accordingly and present it thoughtfully, or the market will price it for you. Not in a way you’ll like.
Buyers: More inventory, less competition, and rates that can be refinanced when they eventually move. Know your numbers, know your non-negotiables, and be ready to move with conviction when the right one shows up. Well-priced homes are still going in the first weekend.
The opportunity is real — but so is the homework.
As always — time will tell.
Before You Fall in Love with a House, Do This First.
Be honest. Have you started looking at homes online yet? If you have, it’s already time to get pre-approved. Because here’s what not enough people know.
If buying a home is on your radar – even if it’s more of a someday plan than a right now plan – you don’t want to wait until later on in the process to tackle this step.
No matter what you’ve heard, pre-approval isn’t about commitment. It’s about clarity. And here are the two big ways pre-approval sets you up for success.
You Know Your Numbers Up Front
During the pre-approval process, a lender will walk through your finances and tell you what you can borrow based on your income, debts, credit score, and more. And once you have that number, your search becomes a lot more focused.
With a mortgage pre-approval, you know what you can borrow, so it’s easier to figure out your ideal price point, and what you can actually afford. And that clarity is key. Because if you just start browsing online and just guess at your price point, you run the risk of falling for a house that’s outside of your price range – or missing out on ones that aren’t.
You want this number to be clearly defined before your search. Here’s why.
You Can Move Quickly When You Find the One
This is how a lot of home searches go today. You scroll through listings just to see what’s out there, and then it happens. You fall in love with something you’ve seen online.
If you’re already pre-approved? You’re probably in great shape.
But if you’re not…
Instead of being able to jump on that house and quickly make an offer, you have to scramble to get a lender, gather the financial documents, and then submit the necessary pre-approval paperwork first. And while you’re waiting to hear back from your lender, someone else who’s more prepared could beat you to the house. As Bankrate explains:
“The best time to get a mortgage preapproval is before you start looking for a home. If you find a home you love but don’t have a preapproval in hand, you likely won’t have time to get preapproved before you need to make an offer . . .”
And that’s avoidable, with the right prep.
Because while you can’t control when the right home shows up, you can be ready for it. Think of it like showing up to the starting line with your shoes tied and your warm-up done – while everyone else is still looking for parking.
It’s not about rushing your timeline. It’s about removing the delay between finding the right home and being able to move on it.
One Thing You Need To Know About Pre-Approvals
Speaking of timing, pre-approvals do have an expiration date. So, be sure to ask your lender how long it’s good for. The Mortgage Reports explains:
“Mortgage preapproval letters are typically valid for anywhere from 30 to 90 days. However, a preapproval can be updated and extended if the lender re-checks your information.”
Doing the right prep and knowing this information can make the whole process a lot smoother.
You don’t have to be ready to buy to be ready to buy.
Getting pre-approved doesn’t mean you’re committing to buy right now. It just means you’ve taken a step to understand your numbers. And when a home catches your attention, you’re prepped and good to go.
Bottom Line
Ask yourself this: if your perfect home popped up tomorrow, would you be ready to make a move?
If the answer is no and you want to buy, it may be time to get pre-approved. You don’t feel behind before your search even officially kicks off.
The #1 Reason Buyers Walk Away (And How To Get Ahead of It)
You may have seen headlines on social saying the number of buyers backing out of their contracts is on the rise – and has recently reached a high not seen since 2017. That can sound intimidating. But it varies a lot by market.
And here’s the key thing to understand if you want to sell. A lot of the time, there’s one common cause. And it’s something you can actually control.
Here’s what you can do to get ahead of the biggest dealbreaker before it ever becomes a problem.
The Top Dealbreaker: Issues That Pop Up During the Inspection
A Redfin survey shows over 70% of recently cancelled contracts happened because of issues during the home inspection (see graph below):
And that makes sense. Because today’s buyers have something they didn’t have a couple of years ago: options.
Why Fixing Things Before You List Matters More Today
A few years back, when buyers felt rushed or boxed in due to the limited number of homes for sale, they were more willing to overlook issues.
But in today’s market, skipping essential repairs is one of the fastest ways to lose a deal.
Now that there are more homes to choose from, buyers can be more selective. If a house feels risky, outdated, or like it’s hiding expensive surprises, they’re a lot more likely to walk away. So, what do you have to fix? Just ask an agent.
How Your Agent Can Help Give You the Edge
A local agent will be able to walk through your house and offer advice on what to tackle based on your specific home, your market, and what buyers are prioritizing in your area. They’ll also have first-hand knowledge about some of the biggest turnoffs for buyers today. And you can use that expertise to prevent future headaches.
For example, according to Zillow, these are some of the issues buyers will care the most about:
- Roof leaks or damage: sagging, leaking, etc.
- Plumbing problems: standing water, leaks, water damage, etc.
- Electrical concerns: outdated or exposed wiring, missing GFCI outlets, etc.
- HVAC issues: non-functioning units
- Pest or insect damage: termite colonies, etc.
- Hazardous materials: lead, mold, asbestos, etc.
- Safety/code violations: missing smoke detectors, windows stuck closed, etc.
- Structural problems: cracks in the foundation, sagging floors, etc.
Odds are not all of this even applies to your house. Maybe only 1-2 things do. Or maybe none of them do. It just depends. But an agent will have the tools and resources to help you figure it out and stay one step ahead.
The Benefits of a Pre-Listing Inspection
To buyers, these aren’t cosmetic issues. They’re trust issues. And that’s what you need to watch out for today. Once buyers start wondering “what else might be wrong,” it’s hard to recover momentum.
That’s why some agents are even recommending a pre-listing inspection as a sneak peek into what buyers will see on their own inspection. With that insight, you can:
- Fix concerns before you list, or disclose issues upfront
- Avoid having to respond or negotiate under pressure
- Stop scrambling to find contractors with availability before your closing date
But remember, you don’t have to fix everything. You just have to be strategic about what you do tackle, so you and your buyer aren’t caught off guard.
And that’s why you need an agent who can:
- Decide if a pre-listing inspection is worth it where you live
- Recommend a trusted inspector (if you decide to get one)
- Look at the results with you to identify true dealbreakers in your market
- Help you decide what to fix or what to credit
- Make sure you avoid over-spending or under-preparing
Bottom Line
One of the biggest dealbreakers for buyers today is inspection issues – and that’s something you can control. You just need to be proactive about high-impact repairs before you list.
If you want help figuring out where to focus, let’s connect so we can keep your sale on track from day one.
Top Mistakes Homeowners Are Making in 2026 (And How To Avoid Them)
Let’s be clear: selling your house is absolutely possible right now. According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), roughly 11k homes sell every day in this country.
And the sellers who are making their moves happen all have one thing in common: they’ve adjusted their strategy to match today’s market. They’re realizing inventory has grown. Homebuyers are more selective. And buyer expectations are higher.
The sellers who struggle are usually approaching today’s market with yesterday’s expectations. Here are the three biggest mistakes they’re making – and how to avoid them.
1. Pricing Based on What Their Neighbor Got a Few Years Back
Setting your price is the most important decision you make when you sell – and the one that’s most often mishandled. Realtor.com data shows almost 1 out of 5 sellers in 2025 had to drop their price. Here’s what those sellers went wrong.
Buyers have more choice and more negotiating power now that inventory has grown. And house hunters will actively avoid your house is if feels like it’s priced too high. That’s why overpricing usually leads to:
- Fewer showings
- Less competitive (or lowball) offers
- Longer time on market
And all three of those side effects are things you don’t want to deal with.
What To Do Instead: The good news is the cure is simple. Just price for today’s buyer, not yesterday’s headlines. Lean on your agent’s knowledge of recent comparable sales, current competition, and local buyer behavior to land in the value “sweet spot” that drives traffic and urgency from day one.
2.Trying To Skip Repairs That Buyers Now Expect
A few years ago, you could sell as-is and still get well above asking. Today? Not so much. Right now, NAR says two-thirds of sellers are making at least some repairs.
And the reason why is simple. In a market with more inventory, buyers compare homes side by side. Homes that don’t show well (or feel dated) are going to lose attention quickly, even if the issues are minor.
What To Do Instead: Ask your agent which high-impact, low-stress updates they’d recommend for your house. The goal isn’t perfection. It’s helping buyers see themselves moving in without a mental to-do list. Small investments in staging, repairs, and curb appeal can make a huge difference in how quickly offers come in – and how strong those offers are.
3. Playing Hardball When Buyers Try To Negotiate
Today’s buyers have housing affordability at the top of their minds. And since money is already tight, they’ll be pickier and will probably ask for some compromises from you. Whether that’s making repairs, giving them a credit at closing, or taking just a few thousand dollars off your asking price, negotiating is normal again.
So, if something pops up in the inspection, you’re going to need to be open to talking about it. If you’re not, you may very well see your buyer walk away. And some sellers are figuring this out the hard way. Redfin data shows one of the big reasons home sales fell thru in 2025 was inspection or repair issues. Odds are those homeowners weren’t willing to flex a bit to get the deal done.
What to Do Instead: Meet with your agent to make sure you understand what buyers in your area care the most about. Align your price with value, present the home clearly and confidently, and stay open to reasonable negotiations that keep deals moving forward.
Bottom Line
The sellers who succeed in this market aren’t doing anything extreme. They’re pricing their house right, making strategic repairs, getting local guidance, and making decisions based on how buyers actually behave today. Those small but mighty mindset shifts could make or break your sale.
Want a real plan tailored to your home and your neighborhood? Let’s talk.
Four Ways Your Home Equity Can Work for You
You may have heard homeowners today have a lot of equity built up. But what does that really mean? Let’s break it down.
Because your equity isn’t just a number, it’s a powerful asset that can help you take your next big step in life.
How Much Equity Does the Typical Homeowner Have?
Here’s how it works. As you pay down your loan and home prices rise through the years, the share of your home that you own free and clear grows. That’s your equity.
And according to data from the Census and ATTOM, two-thirds of homeowners have a substantial amount of it today.
39% own their home outright without owing anything on it. And another 27% have at least 50% equity in their homes (see chart below):
That’s a big deal. And just in case you’re wondering how that translates into real dollars, Cotality says the typical homeowner has almost $300k in equity today.
That’s six figures.
And whether you have that much, even more, or a bit less, here are a few examples of how you can use it.
Ways You Could Use Your Home Equity
1. Move Into a Home That Better Fits Your Life
Your needs change over time. Maybe your home is starting to feel cramped, or maybe you have more space than you need now that your adult children have moved out. Either way, you can use your equity as a down payment on a home that’s a better fit for what you need now, and going forward. You may even have enough equity to buy your next house in cash.
2. Upgrade Your Current Home
And if you’re not ready to move just yet, you could reinvest it in your current home instead. Renovations like a kitchen refresh or updated bathrooms could add value when it’s time to sell down the line. Just be sure to talk to a real estate agent before you tackle your project list, so you can prioritize updates that’ll give you the biggest return later on.
3. Fund a Major Life Goal
Equity can also help fund your life goals – whether it’s starting a business, saving for retirement, covering education costs, or helping out someone you love. Some homeowners are even passing down some of that wealth to help fund a loved one’s down payment on a home.
4. Avoid Foreclosure in Tough Times
If you’re struggling with payments, your equity can also be a lifeline. Many homeowners who hit financial hardships can sell their homes and walk away with money in their pockets instead of facing foreclosure. If that’s something on your mind, talk to a real estate expert about your options and how your equity can help.
Your Next Steps
If you’re interested in using your equity for one of the reasons above, here’s what to do:
- Step 1: Ask a local agent for a personalized equity assessment on your home.
- Step 2: Meet with a financial advisor if you’re interested in using that equity.
Because when it comes to tapping into this resource, there are a few things you’ll want to keep in mind – like making sure you still have a good loan-to-value ratio (LTV) even if you use some of your equity.
That means, as a general rule of thumb, you want to maintain at least 20% equity in your home as a financial cushion – something many homeowners didn’t know back in the crash of 2008.
The good news is, according to the Intercontinental Exchange, most of today’s equity meets that guideline:
“As of Q4, mortgage holders have $17.3T in home equity, including $11.2T in tappable equity ‒ accessible via cash-out refinances or home equity lines while maintaining 20% equity in the property . . . ”
Bottom Line
Your home equity is one of the biggest financial assets you have. Whether you’re thinking about moving, remodeling, or working toward a big goal, it’s worth exploring your options. Reach out to a financial advisor to learn more.
What’s one goal you have that you’d go after right now, if you had the funds for it?
